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He has made four Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro in 2012, but there are just too many offensive linemen with more impressive rsums who have struggled to get in for Brown to have much of a chance. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. Graham has five Pro Bowls to his name, but I don't think he has done enough to earn a gold jacket. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. Art Monk. Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. But history tells us that's a lot to ask. All HOFm Positions: QBRBWRTEGTCDTDEILBOLBDBKP, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. This is the big question: How much longer will Evans play and how productive will he be? Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. He has stayed healthy and productive, so that hasn't been the issue. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons. NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. The former Panthers quarterback has two other Pro Bowl nods besides that 2015 season, although he hasn't received a nomination since. Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. If he can follow in Patrick Mahomes' footsteps and win a Super Bowl this year, Jackson will have an impeccable rsum to start his career. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Matthew Stafford, CB Jeff Okudah. As a result, I would expect him to make it to the Hall someday. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. Lock (100%): QB Patrick Mahomes. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. Za'Darius Smith might have been the best pass-rusher in the league last season and has been great over the past two years on a snap-by-snap basis, but he turns 28 in September. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. Hekker's case is interesting. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Terron Armstead, OT Ryan Ramczyk. Jets, Browns tapped for 2023 NFL Hall of Fame Game originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. Smith-Schuster had a down 2019 season amid injuries and terrible quarterback play; he should bounce back to his 1,426-yard form from 2018. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. In the Super Bowl Era. Interior OL | Edge will Evans play and how productive will he be? Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. Work to do (10% to 39%): C Alex Mack, DT Grady Jarrett. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. He'll have a better shot once reunited with Kyle Shanahan in San Francisco. He deserves it. Lock (100%): QB Drew Brees. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. Author: Nate Greer. Guy made only one Pro Bowl after turning 30, and Hekker probably needs a couple more All-Pro appearances to earn serious consideration. The best trade Andy Reid ever made was moving up in the draft for Mahomes in 2017. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Tre'Davious White. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. The only wide receiver from Carmichael's era who had more TD catches was Paul Warfield, who had 85. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. Gordon made it to two Pro Bowls during his five seasons with the Chargers, but injury concerns and fumble woes make it tough to see a Hall of Fame ceiling for the 2015 first-rounder. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. Tucker is only nine years in, and while he can kick for a long time if he stays healthy, asking anyone in the NFL to do anything for 13 more seasons is risky. While Tucker would be the overwhelming choice as the best kicker in football, the Hall has elected just two full-time kickers in its history. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? I haven't included players who I believe have no more than a 10% chance of making it into the Hall. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). With the onset of COVID, the Pro Football Hall of Fame last year moved its annual board-of-selectors meeting from an in-person session the day before the Super Bowl to a virtual communication . As he enters the league, Young's chances of making the Hall of Fame on draft status alone sneak him into consideration. Martin, who also turns 30 during the season, might not even need another nod. He needs to have a second act and have another selling point -- either winning a Super Bowl, competing for another MVP award or making it to a handful of Pro Bowls -- to have a viable path to a gold jacket. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. We still have no idea how Thomas will perform, but if we look back through history, four of the 32 offensive linemen since 1970 who were drafted with a top-five pick have made it to the Hall of Fame. Naturally, now seems like a good time to look forward. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. Where does Evans slot in? Vander Esch's chances are stronger than his fellow linebacker because he was a first-round pick and made the Pro Bowl as a rookie, while Smith was a second-round pick and didn't make it until his third campaign. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. He's in line behind guys like Atkins unless the USC product continues to make Pro Bowls deep into his 30s. I'll start with the two young players. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. Timing can matter for players, and it has been weird for Suh. Jones should make up some of that difference in 2020, and after Fitzgerald retires, he should be able to challenge the Cardinals great for that second spot. At the combine, he measured in at 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds and ran an impressive 4.53-second 40-yard dash. It's possible to make the Hall of Fame as a lineman without an All-Pro appearance, but the only guy to do it since the merger is Jackie Slater. It's not too late to play with friends and family. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. So maybe the best thing for Johnson and Texans fans is to be patient. Partner with Us Back. Most Approximate Value (AV) in a receiver's best sets of five and seven consecutive seasons, 1960-2019. Players with that sort of injury history early in their careers typically don't have the sort of lengthy peak needed to become a Hall of Famer. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Podcast: Stat superlatives This was. Grading the Jamal Adams trade If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. If you need something more, Fitzgerald's 2008 playoff run is probably the best postseason from any receiver in league history. Syndication Packersnews While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. Kamara was also Offensive Rookie of the Year, which helps his chances further. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. Even so, I think hell eventually get there. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. Henry plays a Hall-friendly position and just won a rushing title. Hall of Fame Wide Receivers. He has made the Pro Bowl in each of his first six seasons, adding four first-team All-Pro appearances. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. For now, Tom Brady and J.J. Watt lead the list of this years retirees wholl be on the ballot in 2028. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. He just turned 26 in August. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Finish reading this entire article absolutely FREE in our app. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2020: QB | RB | TE | WR | OT Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. Seymour has a better rsum and more Super Bowl rings and hasn't made it in, but he peaked earlier in his career; if Campbell can stay productive and win a ring or two with the Ravens, it might push him into more significant consideration. He has two first-team All-Pro appearances over the past five years, but it's likely too little, too late. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats.